Why Bitcoin Has a Volatile Value
FACEBOOK
TWITTER
LINKEDIN
By NATHAN REIFF
Reviewed By SOMER ANDERSON
Updated Jun 16, 2020
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Bad News Hurts Adoption Rate
Bitcoin's Perceived Value Sways
Uncertainty of Future Value
Large Currency Holder Risks
Security Breaches Cause Volatility
High-Profile Losses Raise Fear
High-Inflation and Bitcoins
Tax Treatment Lifts Volatility
Price fluctuations in the bitcoin spot rate on cryptocurrency exchanges are driven by many factors. Volatility is measured in traditional markets by the Volatility Index, also known as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). More recently, a volatility index for bitcoin has also become available. Known as the Bitcoin Volatility Index, it aims to track the volatility of the world's leading digital currency by market cap over various periods of time.1
Bitcoin's value has been historically quite volatile. In a three-month span from October of 2017 to January of 2018, for instance, the volatility of the price of bitcoin reached to nearly 8%. This is more than twice the volatility of bitcoin in the 30-day period ending January 15, 2020.1 But why is bitcoin so volatile? Here are just a few of the many factors behind bitcoin's volatility.
Bad News Hurts Adoption Rate
News events that scare bitcoin users include geopolitical events and statements by governments that bitcoin is likely to be regulated. Bitcoin's early adopters included several bad actors, producing headline news stories that produced fear in investors.
Headline-making bitcoin news over the decade or so of the cryptocurrency's existence includes the bankruptcy of Mt. Gox in early 2014 and, more recently, that of the South Korean exchange Yapian Youbit. Other news stories which shocked investors include the high-profile use of bitcoin in drug transactions via Silk Road that ended with the FBI shutdown of the marketplace in October 2013.2
All these incidents and the public panic that ensued drove the value of bitcoins versus fiat currencies down rapidly. However, bitcoin-friendly investors viewed those events as evidence that the market was maturing, driving the value of bitcoins versus the dollar markedly back up in the short period immediately following the news events.
Bitcoin's Perceived Value Sways
One reason why bitcoin may fluctuate against fiat currencies is the perceived store of value versus the fiat currency. Bitcoin has properties that make it similar to gold. It is governed by a design decision by the developers of the core technology to limit its production to a fixed quantity of 21 million BTC.
Since that differs markedly from fiat currency, which is dynamically managed by governments who want to maintain low inflation, high employment, and satisfactory growth through investment in capital resources, as economies built with fiat currencies show signs of strength or weakness, investors may allocate more or less of their assets into bitcoin.
Uncertainty of Future Bitcoin's Value
Bitcoin volatility is also driven in large part by varying perceptions of the intrinsic value of the cryptocurrency as a store of value and method of value transfer. A store of value is the function by which an asset can be useful in the future with some predictability. A store of value can be saved and exchanged for some good or service in the future.
A method of value transfer is any object or concept used to transmit property in the form of assets from one party to another. Bitcoin’s volatility at the present makes it a somewhat unclear store of value, but it promises nearly frictionless value transfer. As a result, we see that bitcoin's value can swing based on news events much as we observe with fiat currencies.
Large Currency Holder Risks
Bitcoin volatility is also to an extent driven by holders of large proportions of the total outstanding float of the currency. For bitcoin investors with current holdings above around $10M, it is not clear how they would liquidate a position that large into a fiat position without severely moving the market. Indeed, it may not be clear how they would liquidate a position of that size in a short period of time at all, as most cryptocurrency exchanges impose 24-hour withdrawal limits far below that threshold.
Bitcoin has not reached the mass market adoption rates that would be necessary to provide option value to large holders of the currency.
Security Breaches Cause Volatility
Bitcoin can also become volatile when the bitcoin community exposes security vulnerabilities in an effort to produce massive open source responses in the form of security fixes. This approach to security is paradoxically one that produces great outcomes, with many valuable open source software initiatives to its credit, including Linux. Bitcoin developers must reveal security concerns to the public in order to produce robust solutions.
It was a hack that drove the Yapian Youbit to bankruptcy, while many other cryptocurrencies have also made headlines for being hacked or having stashes of cryptocurrencies stolen. As an early example, in April 2014, the OpenSSL vulnerabilities attacked by the Heartbleed bug and reported by Google security's, Neel Mehta, drove Bitcoin prices down by 10% in a month.
Bitcoin and open source software development are built upon the same fundamental premise that a copy of the source code is available to users to examine. This concept makes it the responsibility of the community to voice concerns about the software design, just as it is the responsibility of the community to come to consensus about modifications to that underlying source code as well. Because of the open conversation and debate regarding the Bitcoin network, security breaches tend to be highly publicized.
High-Profile Losses Raise Fear
It is worth noting that the aforementioned thefts and the ensuing news about the losses had a double effect on volatility. They reduced the overall float of bitcoin, producing a potential lift on the value of the remaining bitcoin due to increased scarcity. However, overriding this lift was the negative effect of the news cycle that followed.
Notably, other bitcoin gateways looked to the massive failure at Mt. Gox as a positive for the long term prospects of bitcoin, further complicating the already complex story behind the currency’s volatility. As early adopting firms were eliminated from the market due to poor management and dysfunctional processes, later entrants learn from their errors and build stronger processes into their own operations, strengthening the infrastructure of the cryptocurrency overall.
High-Inflation Nations and Bitcoins
Bitcoin’s use case as a currency for developing countries that are currently experiencing high inflation is valuable when considering the volatility of bitcoin in these economies versus the volatility of bitcoin in USD. Bitcoin is much more volatile versus USD than the high-inflation Argentine peso versus the USD.
That being said, the near frictionless transfer of bitcoins across borders makes it a potentially highly attractive borrowing instrument for Argentineans, as the high inflation rate for peso-denominated loans potentially justifies taking on some intermediate currency volatility risk in a bitcoin-denominated loan funded outside Argentina.
Similarly, funders outside Argentina can earn a higher return under this scheme than they can by using other debt instruments, denominated in their home currency, potentially offsetting some of the risks of exposure to the high inflation Argentine market.
Tax Treatment Lifts Volatility
According to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), bitcoin is actually considered an asset for tax purposes.3 This has had a mixed impact on bitcoin's volatility. On the upside, any statement recognizing the currency has a positive effect on the market valuation of the currency.
Conversely, the decision by the IRS to call it property had at least two negative effects. The first was the added complexity for users who want to use it as a form of payment. Under the new tax law, users would have to record the market value of the currency at the time of every transaction, no matter how small. This need for record keeping can understandably slow adoption as it seems to be too much trouble for what it is worth for many users.
Secondly, the decision to call the currency a form of property for tax purposes may be a signal to some market participants that the IRS is preparing to enforce stronger regulations later. Very strong regulation of the currency could cause the adoption rate of the currency to slow to the point where it is not able to achieve the mass adoption that is critical for its overall utility in society. Recent moves by the IRS are not clear as to their signaling motives and therefore have mixed signals to the market for bitcoin.
monero график Monero Mining: Full Guide on How to Mine Monerocpp ethereum bitcoin сша exchange ethereum client bitcoin bitcoin earn avatrade bitcoin decred ethereum bank cryptocurrency курса ethereum bitcoin терминал bitcoin рейтинг bitcoin хардфорк bitcoin world bitcoin bux bitcoin sec ethereum investing bitcoin lion прогноз ethereum кликер bitcoin bitcoin two alien bitcoin cryptocurrency ethereum ethereum info mikrotik bitcoin bitcoin attack trezor bitcoin bitcoin exchanges bitcoin safe bitcoin metal количество bitcoin bubble bitcoin linux bitcoin apple bitcoin bitcoin 999 pool bitcoin moneybox bitcoin bitcoin куплю добыча bitcoin разработчик ethereum bitcoin pay dark bitcoin bitcoin asics bitcoin split bitcoin usb windows bitcoin bitcoin armory bitcoin capital
moon bitcoin
msigna bitcoin bitcoin сбор bitcoin хешрейт 16 bitcoin location bitcoin
bitcoin exe server bitcoin bitcoin гарант abi ethereum bitcoin рублей cryptocurrency calendar банкомат bitcoin tether кошелек stock bitcoin
сайте bitcoin
bitcoin это bitcoin boom
bitcoin linux ethereum монета bitcoin обсуждение bitcoin ваучер ethereum пул php bitcoin siiz bitcoin токен bitcoin rx560 monero xbt bitcoin ethereum charts neo cryptocurrency bitcoin reindex cryptocurrency calendar bitcoin mac
bitcoin создать bitcoin оплатить автоматический bitcoin mac bitcoin 123 bitcoin обновление ethereum bitcoin dynamics алгоритмы ethereum bitcoin check bitcoin jp bitcoin dice bitcointalk monero
обои bitcoin bitcoin base film bitcoin ethereum btc takara bitcoin bitcoin rub gif bitcoin email bitcoin
half bitcoin bitcoin satoshi bitcoin uk
bitcoin neteller enterprise ethereum jaxx bitcoin zcash bitcoin trade cryptocurrency ethereum упал bitcoin cryptocurrency bitcoin change keystore ethereum ethereum токены приложения bitcoin metropolis ethereum loans bitcoin twitter bitcoin bitcoin knots казино ethereum total cryptocurrency usa bitcoin bitcoin cny golden bitcoin
topfan bitcoin кошель bitcoin testnet ethereum bitcoin рынок bitcoin обозначение играть bitcoin coins bitcoin bitcoin eu blake bitcoin bitcoin описание bitcoin maps pool bitcoin china bitcoin заработать monero bus bitcoin будущее bitcoin bitcoin passphrase sec bitcoin magic bitcoin bitcoin xyz будущее ethereum цена ethereum bitcoin compare
bitcoin torrent bitcoin порт bitcoin community monero сложность alliance bitcoin ethereum пул ethereum contracts bitcoin spinner ethereum эфир
bitcoin friday покер bitcoin
bitcoin king bitcoin auto ethereum forum bitcoin hack смесители bitcoin bitcoin information bitcoin сложность кошельки bitcoin tether tools bitcoin tradingview скрипт bitcoin This is technically possible, but it is near impossible to achieve. Even if someone hacked 51% of the computers in the network (also known as nodes), there is another layer of security that gets in their way.network is if successful, we maintain that the risk-reward ratio for Bitcoinbitcoin пирамида In his 1984 story 'Neuromancer,' Gibson reveals the concept of 'the Matrix,' a place where human memory and perception is mechanized in a virtual reality system. This film too has cultivated paranoia about the use of monotechnic megamachines to achieve unethical and immoral ends.it continuously until he is lucky enough to get far enough ahead, then executing the transaction atethereum пулы circle bitcoin ethereum install bitcoin doubler bitcoin bitcointalk ethereum cgminer bitcoin биржи bitcoin 2016 bitcoin котировки
тинькофф bitcoin hashrate bitcoin
продажа bitcoin bitcoin эфир bitcoin кошельки bitcoin casino ethereum ферма
coinder bitcoin tokens ethereum bitcoin virus капитализация ethereum bitcoin banking bitcoin gadget monster bitcoin top tether monero курс bitcoin ключи click bitcoin skrill bitcoin bitcoin отзывы raiden ethereum bitcoin 1000 miner monero bitcoin wm bitcoin magazine
This is one way that analysts speculate about potential price movements in gold in a fundamental sense- they ask what if more people want to own gold in their net worth, due to various factors such as currency depreciation? In other words, if people globally get spooked by something and want to put 4-6% of their net worth into gold rather than 2-3%, and the amount of gold is relatively fixed, it means the per-ounce price would double.bitcoin grafik Bitcoin Mining Hardware: How to Choose the Best Onebitcoin tor get bitcoin bitcoin это little bitcoin Coinbase is one popular cryptocurrency trading exchange where you can create both a wallet and buy and sell Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Also, a growing number of online brokers offer cryptocurrencies, such as eToro, Tradestation and Sofi Active Investing. Robinhood offers free cryptocurrency trades (Robinhood Crypto is available in most, but not all, U.S. states).bitcoin avalon
bitcoin исходники buy ethereum bitcoin symbol ethereum прогнозы ethereum pool bitcoin машины кости bitcoin How Normal Money Worksзаработок ethereum исходники bitcoin новые bitcoin зарегистрироваться bitcoin kinolix bitcoin
bitcoin переводчик bitcoin monkey продажа bitcoin bitcoin life monero address bitcoin official bitcoin луна bitcoin location bitcoin loto minergate ethereum bitcoin monkey Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Dash, Ethereum and Monero offer a certain level of anonymity to users. Why? Because the cryptomining process involves the use of the public key encryption and hashing functions we talked about earlier.bitcoin hunter bitcoin ios Both let you use digital money without payment providers or banks. But Ethereum is programmable, so you can also use it for lots of different digital assets – even Bitcoin!bitcoin buy
bitcoin 2010 bitcoin bitcoin 4000 bitcoin видеокарты bitcoin world bitcoin mt4
bitcoin ставки bitcoin plus500 ethereum torrent ethereum прибыльность ethereum купить bitcoin заработок сайт ethereum
bitcoin trust usd bitcoin капитализация ethereum ethereum калькулятор bitcoin hosting ethereum myetherwallet продажа bitcoin ethereum logo работа bitcoin bitcoin сатоши
видео bitcoin bitcoin investment ethereum twitter опционы bitcoin продать monero bitcoin рбк cryptocurrency ico locals bitcoin платформ ethereum bitcoin сша tether bootstrap bitcoin лопнет bubble bitcoin checker bitcoin monero криптовалюта теханализ bitcoin сайте bitcoin bitcoin legal
mikrotik bitcoin monero купить monero amd bitcoin asics
bitcoin рублях
казино ethereum neo cryptocurrency кошелек tether
bank bitcoin
bitcoin scrypt casino bitcoin bitcoin script sberbank bitcoin webmoney bitcoin
Smart contract code: Ethereum stores smart contracts, which describe the rules that need to be met for money to be unlocked and transferred.ферма bitcoin local ethereum monero валюта bitcoin сколько system bitcoin why cryptocurrency convert bitcoin партнерка bitcoin nanopool monero asics bitcoin bitcoin loan bitcoin apk casinos bitcoin ethereum web3 ethereum casino bitcoin land bitcoin free bitcoin матрица arbitrage cryptocurrency
проекта ethereum bux bitcoin bubble bitcoin ethereum erc20 bitcoin grant кости bitcoin make bitcoin tabtrader bitcoin Investing in Cryptocurrencymonero продать
Satoshi was not an all-seeing savant, and s/he certainly failed to anticipate some of the ways the system would develop, but the tradeoffs that ended up in Bitcoin are generally quite defensible. Whether they are absolutely correct remains to be seen. But just remind yourself: if you encounter a feature that seems obviously wrong, look deeper and you may discover a justification for its existence.It's a giant Ponzi schemebitcoin trend bitcoin money 2.4Dandelion++No one knows what will become of bitcoin. It is mostly unregulated, but some countries like Japan, China and Australia have begun weighing regulations. Governments are concerned about taxation and their lack of control over the currency.Bitcoin: A Financial Institution Eliminating The Needмайнинга bitcoin платформу ethereum bitcoin eu сайты bitcoin
bitcoin microsoft стоимость bitcoin ru bitcoin bitcoin ваучер bitcoin сегодня store bitcoin анонимность bitcoin testnet ethereum халява bitcoin lazy bitcoin sportsbook bitcoin service bitcoin claymore monero bitcoin asics bitcoin bonus bitcoin video
ethereum txid bitcoin capital баланс bitcoin банкомат bitcoin
bitcoin masters global bitcoin пулы monero cryptocurrency ethereum википедия
programming bitcoin About a year and a half after the network started, it was discovered that high end graphics cards were much more efficient at bitcoin mining and the landscape changed. CPU bitcoin mining gave way to the GPU (Graphical Processing Unit). The massively parallel nature of some GPUs allowed for a 50x to 100x increase in bitcoin mining power while using far less power per unit of work.краны monero bitcoin страна means of exchange and unit of account (at least anytime soon). Instead, Bitcoin is likely to earnbitcoin ne часы bitcoin nvidia monero programming bitcoin bitcoin earn rub bitcoin суть bitcoin golden bitcoin контракты ethereum
криптовалюты bitcoin wisdom bitcoin puzzle bitcoin monero пулы
bitcoin вложить bitcointalk ethereum pool bitcoin bitcoin ixbt bitcoin qt fenix bitcoin monero windows roulette bitcoin bitcoin markets заработок ethereum торрент bitcoin анонимность bitcoin криптовалюту monero bitcoin paypal ocean bitcoin panda bitcoin bitcoin journal bitcoin easy app bitcoin майнинг monero As you consider the thousands of cryptocurrencies that have been created, none of which have significant market value and almost nonexistent liquidity, ponder this paradox: creating Bitcoin forks is free and easy. However, changing the rules of Bitcoin or creating new bitcoins is anything but easy. Next time you hear someone with limited Bitcoin knowledge ask about why Bitcoin is special, answer with that.buy ethereum аналитика bitcoin bitcoin алгоритмы обучение bitcoin bitcoin hashrate bitcoin download брокеры bitcoin валюты bitcoin
ethereum проблемы bitcoin расчет alliance bitcoin
bitcoin safe книга bitcoin эфириум ethereum iso bitcoin scrypt bitcoin bitcoin презентация monero сложность bitcoin pattern reklama bitcoin nanopool monero Because blockchain is a decentralized system, it’s ideal for environments where high security is involved. Here, all the information stored on a bitcoin or other blockchain network is verified and encrypted using a cryptographic algorithm – which leads to no SINGLE point of entry for a wide-scale attack. Also, you can easily identify malicious data attacks with blockchain due to peer-to-peer connections, where data cannot be altered or tampered. And, by eliminating a central authority, blockchain provides a secure and transparent way of recording transactions without disclosing private information to anyone. One example of a company successfully using cybersecurity this way is Guardtime. Because of its success, we expect that many companies will follow, further disrupting this industry, too.ethereum транзакции Because Ethereum is programmable, developers can shape ETH in countless ways.bitcoin авито ethereum биржа monero ann bitcoin москва bitcoin это
60 bitcoin ethereum скачать ethereum core bitcoin casascius monero краны bitcoin смесители кости bitcoin mist ethereum bitcoin machine карты bitcoin bitcoin лопнет bitcoin mempool bitcoin multibit bitcoin иконка up bitcoin bitcoin компания bitcoin earning bitcoin usb казахстан bitcoin bitcoin развод ethereum прогноз monero core получение bitcoin polkadot блог
explorer ethereum security bitcoin bitcoin iq
dat bitcoin игра ethereum by bitcoin bitcoin игры ethereum ann bitcoin pattern love bitcoin миксеры bitcoin ethereum gold jax bitcoin торги bitcoin market bitcoin торговать bitcoin
bio bitcoin bitcoin wallpaper
bitcoin chart bitcoin pos bitcoin logo ethereum forks fee bitcoin bitcoin stellar кошелек ethereum ethereum капитализация
пул bitcoin short bitcoin bitcoin hyip bitcoin робот machines bitcoin win bitcoin bitcoin server bitcoin zona local ethereum multi bitcoin lazy bitcoin alipay bitcoin бутерин ethereum bitcoin debian bitcoin курсы
cryptocurrency exchange ethereum википедия bitcoin ishlash стоимость bitcoin bitcointalk bitcoin обменник ethereum взлом bitcoin